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Is the Austin-Round Rock Real Estate Market Going to Crash?

After 20 years in the high-tech industry, I decided I wanted to be in the real estate business.  How hard could it be, right?  Well, now I’ve now been in the Austin-Round Rock real estate business for almost twenty years, and I also realize how little I knew when I started.  But I survived and thrived and I’m still enjoying it.  After 20 years of many successes and mistakes, I have a much better idea of what matters.  Now I know what location, location, location means.  If you don’t, ask us.

I’ve personally bought and sold dozens of properties for my own personal reasons, and I’ve helped hundreds of clients buy and sell properties for their own use.  I’ve gotten to that point in my career where I enjoy being a teacher and sharing my real estate experience with clients to help them make wise decisions and to help them consider things that they might not realize until after purchasing a property.  A little experience can go a long way towards preventing costly mistakes and also those annoying little things that you wish you would have considered before you made that big real estate purchase.

Lately, one of the questions that I’ve been asked by many clients and other professionals, is the Austin real estate market going to crash?  I’ve been trying to guess the direction of the Austin real estate market for almost 20 years without much success. The only thing consistent about my predictions is that when I think it cannot go any higher, it does.

I’ve been fortunate enough that I bought and held a few properties that I acquired through my career.  Of course, since I held them, I bought them when prices were lower, and they are now worth more than I paid for them.  It seems that Austin real estate has always been a good investment as far back as they began keeping records.  There have certainly been some highs and lows along the way, but I’ve acquired properties and held them through the mortgage crisis, and they continue to be good investments.

So, is the Austin real estate market going to crash?  I don’t think so!  I think it will level off and may evens settle a little, but I don’t think Austin real estate is going to do anything that we would describe as a crash.  Austin has too much going for it.  It is becoming the new high-tech center of the US. There are many people and companies relocating from California and other areas to Austin. There are multiple announcements of major manufacturers moving to the Austin area. There are real estate investors from all over the world investing in the Austin Round Rock real estate market. However, even though Austin Texas doesn’t bring down the price of Austin real estate, there are other global or national things to consider that we will talk about in another post.

Austin-Round Rock Texas is entering a new era in real estate. Years ago, I saw a California real estate poster that depicted a skeleton of a person long dead. The caption read “Still waiting for California home prices to go down”.  Ever increasing real estate prices in Austin and California has been a double-edged sword. It has allowed some people to sell their house after many years and retire happily to a cheaper area. The downside is that it has kept large numbers of hard-working people from ever being able to own a home.

Is it too late to buy invest in some Austin real estate?  One thing I’ve learned by experience, is that if you are a long-term real estate investor, the odds are in your favor to make a profit if you hold it long enough.  You can always hold a property until the market recovers.  I’ve survived a couple of downturns along the way, and I’ve never lost money on a real estate deal in Austin.  Of course, It’s always better to buy low and sell high, but that requires making predictions of the future market performance which is rarely accurate. it really doesn’t matter when you buy.  If you hold long enough, you can make a profit.

In the long run, land is a limited commodity, and they are not making (much) more of it, so long-term, real estate will continue to rise with some ups and downs along the way.  I think more important than when you buy, is where you buy. There is a saying that the three most important things in real estate are location, location, location. This is absolutely true. I would much rather own 1 acre in Round Rock Texas than 100 acres in the Sahara Desert.

Austin real estate is like all of the old cars I’ve ever owned.  I wish still owned all of them.

Contact us if we can help you buy a home, investment or commercial property in the Austin-Round Rock area.  It’s a great way to build wealth.

Walter Rock
ROCK Properties Realty
512 850 4510
info@rockproperties.com

In 2021, more homes were sold in the Austin-Round Rock area than ever before

Author: Britny Eubank

Residential home sales rose 2.5% year-over-year.

AUSTIN, Texas — More homes were sold in the Austin-Round Rock area in 2021 than ever before, according to a new report from the Austin Board of Realtors (ABoR).

ABoR’s report shows that residential home sales rose 2.5% year-over-year to 41,316 homes sold in 2021. The median price for a home across the area also set a record last year, rising 30.8% over 2020 to $450,000. Additionally, more homes hit the market in 2021 than ever before, with new listings increasing 5.9% to 46,449 homes and pending listings increasing 1.1% to 42,592 homes.

In the City of Austin alone, residential home sales increased 4.6% to 13,351 sales, an annual record. The median sales price for residential homes in Austin rose 27.7% year-over-year to $536,331 in 2021, also an annual record. New listings slightly increased 1.4% to 14,937 listings while active listings dropped 41% to 782 listings, and pending sales increased 4.7% to 13,595 pending sales.

Cord Shiflet, the 2022 ABoR president, called 2021’s housing market the “most exciting, complicated, fast-paced and record-setting” market in Austin’s history.

“With all the new jobs across the region from exciting companies like Tesla and Samsung, Austin was put on the world’s stage and captured the hearts and attention of so many,” Shiflet said. “We are lucky to call Austin our home when it has so much to offer from a great quality of life to a wonderful destination for innovation and opportunity.”

One number did show a notable decline for the area: the average number of active listings on the market dropped 48.2% to 2,348 homes last year. ABoR said homes spent an average of 20 days on the market, 25 days fewer or 55.6% less than in 2020. The 5-county MSA ended 2021 with 0.6 months of housing inventory.

Mark Sprague, the state director of information capital at Independence Title, said that 2021’s housing records were set due to high demand combined with limited supply. Lack of inventory and supply chain disruptions could continue to affect the housing market this year.

“Lack of inventory and global supply chain issues may lead to a 5-7% decline in closed sales across the region in 2022, but rising home values will ensure the housing market’s economic impact remains steady,” Sprauge said. “In short, 2022 will see a robust market for home sales and property values, but the region must do more to address inventory.”

To read more about December’s numbers and dig into the 2021 numbers for Travis, Williamson, Hays, Bastrop and Caldwell counties, check out ABoR’s full report.

Cities with the most expensive homes in Austin metro area
Cities with the most expensive homes in Austin metro area


Written by: Stacker

Buying a home is an investment—and an increasingly expensive one. The typical value of a home in the United States today is $316,368, a 19.3% increase over the last year.

Stacker compiled a list of cities with the most expensive homes in Austin-Round Rock, TX metro area using data from Zillow. Cities are ranked by the Zillow Home Values Index for all homes as of November 2021.

Home buyers have a lot to consider when house-hunting or looking to invest in rental properties, from the state of the housing market itself to taxes and potential resale value. The housing market grew robust and pricey in the decade following the 2008 recession, and more recently saw a boom during the coronavirus pandemic. Another consideration is the house itself, including what kind of upkeep it requires and those associated costs. Depreciation affects all homes at an average rate of 3.636% each year, which can be a help come tax season if you use your home for business or rentals but may cost you later in capital gains taxes when you sell. Meanwhile, land value tends to increase over time depending on several factors including where the house is located and what amenities and homes are nearby. More desirable neighborhoods allow sellers to charge more; the mantra “location, location, location” has never been more relevant.

How does your city rank? See the cities with most expensive houses in Austin-Round Rock, TX metro below:

#10. Dripping Springs, TX ($839,677)
– 1 year price change: +47.6%
– 5 year price change: +93.4%

#9. The Hills, TX ($895,221)
– 1 year price change: +43.2%
– 5 year price change: +75.0%

#8. Bee Cave, TX ($928,678)
– 1 year price change: +42.3%
– 5 year price change: +75.5%

#7. Driftwood, TX ($984,132)
– 1 year price change: +51.1%
– 5 year price change: +96.2%

#6. Bear Creek, TX ($1,056,792)
– 1 year price change: +66.3%
– 5 year price change: +151.9%

#5. Sunset Valley, TX ($1,061,898)
– 1 year price change: +40.6%
– 5 year price change: +82.7%

#4. Volente, TX ($1,123,547)
– 1 year price change: +46.1%
– 5 year price change: +98.4%

#3. Lost Creek, TX ($1,362,860)
– 1 year price change: +47.8%
– 5 year price change: +87.6%

#2. West Lake Hills, TX ($2,285,617)
– 1 year price change: +47.1%
– 5 year price change: +89.9%

#1. Rollingwood, TX ($2,401,379)
– 1 year price change: +44.5%
– 5 year price change: +89.9%

Cities with the fastest growing home prices in Austin metro area

Written by: Stacker

Supply and demand drive the real estate market, affecting everything from building and lot values to availability for buyers and sellers. These forces are usually closely aligned with an area’s economy, job market, population, demographics, location, interest rates, and several other constantly evolving factors. The coronavirus pandemic put an enormous strain on the economy, but created a real estate boom driven largely by people buying second homes as vacation properties.

Stacker compiled a list of cities with the fastest growing home prices in Austin-Round Rock, TX using data from Zillow. Cities are ranked by the change in Zillow Home Values Index for all homes and apartments over the last year as of November 2021. The typical home value in the United States increased over the last year by +19.3% to $316,368.

Keep reading to see if your home city made the list.

#15. Mountain City, TX
– 1 year price change: +48.2%
– 5 year price change: +78.8%
– Typical home value: $542,308 (#23 most expensive city in metro)

#14. Anderson Mill, TX
– 1 year price change: +48.5%
– 5 year price change: +91.2%
– Typical home value: $516,568 (#28 most expensive city in metro)

#13. Kyle, TX
– 1 year price change: +48.8%
– 5 year price change: +79.1%
– Typical home value: $360,499 (#51 most expensive city in metro)

#12. Buda, TX
– 1 year price change: +50.2%
– 5 year price change: +78.0%
– Typical home value: $458,292 (#35 most expensive city in metro)

#11. Liberty Hill, TX
– 1 year price change: +50.8%
– 5 year price change: +81.5%
– Typical home value: $535,431 (#25 most expensive city in metro)

#10. Round Rock, TX
– 1 year price change: +51.1%
– 5 year price change: +83.0%
– Typical home value: $497,994 (#30 most expensive city in metro)

#9. Driftwood, TX
– 1 year price change: +51.1%
– 5 year price change: +96.2%
– Typical home value: $984,132 (#7 most expensive city in metro)

#8. Creedmoor, TX
– 1 year price change: +51.4%
– 5 year price change: +120.5%
– Typical home value: $537,697 (#24 most expensive city in metro)

#7. Hutto, TX
– 1 year price change: +51.8%
– 5 year price change: +84.1%
– Typical home value: $407,257 (#44 most expensive city in metro)

#6. Thrall, TX
– 1 year price change: +52.2%
– 5 year price change: +112.9%
– Typical home value: $415,895 (#42 most expensive city in metro)

#5. Cedar Park, TX
– 1 year price change: +52.4%
– 5 year price change: +85.9%
– Typical home value: $559,717 (#21 most expensive city in metro)

#4. Coupland, TX
– 1 year price change: +53.3%
– 5 year price change: +102.3%
– Typical home value: $580,974 (#18 most expensive city in metro)

#3. Leander, TX
– 1 year price change: +55.5%
– 5 year price change: +84.1%
– Typical home value: $516,640 (#27 most expensive city in metro)

#2. Granger, TX
– 1 year price change: +57.3%
– 5 year price change: +125.5%
– Typical home value: $386,982 (#46 most expensive city in metro)

#1. Bear Creek, TX
– 1 year price change: +66.3%
– 5 year price change: +151.9%
– Typical home value: $1,056,792 (#6 most expensive city in metro)

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